CPI still rises despite drop in gasoline prices

Despite the first decrease in transportation costs since spring, overall consumer prices still took a modest climb in July. The Zions Bank Wasatch Front Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.4 percent from June to July, driven primarily by the cost of housing. 

Year-over-year, the Wasatch Front Consumer Price Index has grown 5.4 percent, which marks the third month in a row that Utah has had record-setting year-over-year price index growth. Meanwhile, the national Consumer Price Index has increased 2.9 percent since July of last year.{mprestriction ids="1,3"}

Rising prices in the housing industry caused two-thirds of the increase in the overall cost of living statewide. Increases in food away from the home was the next largest factor, contributing to 20 percent of the month-to-month increase.

For the first month since March, transportation was not a leading cause of price increases, ending the largest three-month stretch of transportation price increases ever measured since Zions Bank began measuring the CPI in 2010. Transportation prices overall edged down because of a slight decrease in the price of gasoline over the previous month.

Even with July’s slight decrease in transportation costs, housing and transportation price increases are by far the largest contributors to the year-over-year price increase, together contributing over 80 percent of the increase. Education and food away from home combined contribute about 10 percent of the year-over-year increase. Both transportation and housing are at the highest levels the index has seen since it began in 2010. Housing has seen a steady increase in price since 2010 and transportation had been trending up overall since February 2016.

“It is common for gasoline prices to drop slightly as summer comes to a close,” said Scott Anderson, president and CEO of Zions Bank, “so this record growth in prices along the Wasatch Front may slow in the coming months. With regards to the housing industry, Utah’s strong job growth continues to attract more people to Utah. The construction industry’s year-over-year job growth is strong, with 6.2 percent growth over the last 12 months, which means they are working hard to meet demand.”

“Gasoline prices do affect the prices of industries with shipped goods, like food,” said Randy Shumway, chairman and partner at Cicero Group, a market research firm that does data collection and analysis for the CPI. “Food goods for both food at home and food away from the home are shipped all over the state and nation, which requires fuel. And the price of fuel factors into the prices that consumers see when they go out to buy food. But Utah could have different trends than the U.S. because of differences in demand. One of the reasons why the prices of food at home may have dropped year-over-year in Utah while the prices of food away from the home have increased year-over-year could be a change in demand. If more and more people prefer to eat out over eating at home, then the demand changes will increase the prices for food away from the home and put downward pressure on the prices for food at home.”{/mprestriction}